Canalys: every PC sold will be an AI PC by 2030

Martin Brinkmann
Apr 29, 2024
Hardware, Windows 11 News

Will every PC sold in 2030 be an AI PC? Analysts at Canalys predict that every PC sold by 2030 will have on-device AI capabilities.

Microsoft, PC manufacturers, and chip manufacturers have high hopes for AI PCs. This new type of PC requires a neural processing unit (NPU) to process AI tasks on the device.  On Windows, they also require a Copilot key on the keyboard.

A core focus of the next version of Windows 11 is AI and AI PCs. Microsoft will lift the curtain next month during its Build developer conference. The final version of Windows 11 version 24H2 is expected in September or October 2024.

AI Explorer is one tool that will be introduced in the next version of Windows 11. Reports suggest that it is going to be an omnipresent AI that is recording a user's activity on the PC. The user may then interact with the AI in natural language to retrieve files or information.

While that sounds useful, it could also become a privacy nightmare, depending on how it is implemented.

All PCs sold in 2030 will be AI PCs

Tech market analyst Canalys predicts that AI PCs will take over the entire PC market in the coming six years. What this means is that PCs without on-board AI capabilities will no longer be sold by 2030.

Here is the adoption timeline as predicted by analysts at Canalys:

  • 2024 -- 19% of all PCs come with on-device AI capabilities.
  • 2025 -- AI PCs will be mainstream. They reach 37%.
  • 2027 -- 60% of all PCs sold come with on-device AI capabilities.
  • 2030 -- 100% of PCs sold will have NPUs or some other form of AI chip.

While that may look like a risky projection at first, it is not on closer inspection. As Martin Geuß over at Dr. Windows points out, chip manufacturers are already integrating NPUs on their chips.  While that is reserved to brand new top-of-the-line chips like the Qualcomm Snapdragon X Elite currently, capabilities will be integrated into medium-priced and low-priced processors eventually.

Clearly, these won't have the same processing power as high-end processors, which may limit them. However, NPUs will become the norm in the coming years.

Closing Words

Whether AI PCs will be the next big thing remains to be seen. AI is trending right now and companies like Microsoft are integrating AI capabilities into their operating systems at a record pace.

Once the initial goldrush settles, it will be interesting to see how useful the features are for day-to-day activities of users.

Microsoft plans to showcase the future of AI in Windows next month.

Are you looking forward to the integration of AI into your devices and systems? Feel free to leave a comment down below.

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Canalys: every PC sold will be an AI PC by 2030
Will every PC sold in 2030 be an AI PC? Analysts at Canalys predict that every PC sold by 2030 will have on-device AI capabilities.
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  1. Abraham Pais said on May 31, 2024 at 2:37 am

    Ai is weaponized to become the controller, for the new Global Order using digital tyranny. Ask yourself why is digital ID being pushed, because it’s needed for CBDC (programmable money), and for slaughterbots to target specific individuals for non-compliance. CBDC also includes social scoring of individuals, so of course Ai must be used to process and keep track of the trillions of transactions given in a year, in real time while generating profiles of every individual to forecast outcomes in advance.

    Another words, Ai plugs into everything, your phone, computer, bank, government. It’s all one side, design by the intelligence agencies with the help of big tech, owned by the elites to strangle your freedom, your human rights, and decrese your sovereignty.

    So humanity has 3 choices;

    1) provides everything one needs to exist on your own – 99% impossible.
    2) resist, take back your governments to pass new laws that favor people – 10% might?
    3) level the playing field by using Ai to counter their Ai, so there is no unfair advantage.

    Meaning, in todays modern world, everyone depends upon others to obtain the many things they use, apply and depend upon in living (need, want or desire).

    Resisting tyranny must be learned, too many useful idiots empower tyranny today. Its the same with with taking experimental injections – the majority never questioned, and coercion did the rest.

    Option 3 has the means and ability to deny the elite their advantage over humanity – so the elites cannot weaponize or monoploize Ai for their own selfish interest. That’s what IPR had done, protecting the owners while denying society the same rights of innovation. They called it patents, trademarks and copyrights – but it just protection for them, restrictions for us.

    The same has happen with our culture, the MPAA and RIAA both produce copies for profit, while denying us the right to share even for zero profit. So when one of our own members creates a work of art, be a song, a painting or innovation, the rest of society is denied from it’s benefits, the sharing of and appreciation unless a ransom of money is given to the owner, which is often not the creator.

    How many cannot afford buying their own cultures work? If you add up all the culture, nobody has that kind of money. So, society is reduced by it’s restricted culture only for the sake of being held as monoploy.

    Now you might not agree with the above, but you can be absolutely assured, in the hands of the elites, that Ai will be weaponized with all the data given to it, be your financial records, your medical records, your edcational records, your employment records, your conversations, all your contacts and relationships, to know everything about YOU.

    In this situation, what will you understand about Ai? It’s everywhere, controlling everything. But you are not controlling Ai at all. Can you see how one sided all this is?

    To add more salt to this wound, Ai isn’t isn’t alive, therefore it doesn’t value life. You can unplug the machine, it off then. So Ai has no concept of living, no feelings, no emotions to connect it to the reality for what living beings experience. Why would a machine care, when it has no feelings?

    Explain to a machine why genocide is wrong, it isn’t going to care. If the statics show more depopulation is needed for global warming, it won’t miss anyone murdered. It’s just a calculator doing math. As for those who think Ai is smarter, who claims a calculator is smarter than a human being? Humans are being tricked into assuming a fast processing, mimicing machine is somehow superior, but that isn’t the case at all. Have you ever seen a machine create something new that was never programmed into it, before it’s time? Has any Ai developed anything before it’s time?

    Humans build upon prior work and this explains why human civilization has enver developed anything before it’s time. The Egyptains and Chinese never invented anything before it’s time. Because, these things required knowledge that at the time wasn’t present. Nobody is going to build a 777 Boeing Jet some 10,000 years ago – without knowing everything required to do that, be the knowledge, the materials, the means to manufacture what is needed.

    Ai doesn’t create, it also builds upon past knowledge. Ask any Ai tell me the future, it only looks at the past to forecast. An astrologer might do better here. As Ai cannot factor in unknown variables, whereas an astrologer actually computer future events by looking into the future, where the planets will be in the future, and then must interpret those aspect for what they mean and that is the problem here, the interpretation. A could help here a lot, to compared trillions of aspects to find patterns, and thus greater meaning of those aspects. So, there is no doubt Ai can be made useful, but in the hands of the most wealthy on Earth, it can be weaponized against humanity.

    Any technology can be abused. Any technology can be weaponized too. Anyone driving an automobile can drive into a crowd of people or delivery someone to the hospital to save their lives. A hammer can be used to build a home or hit someone on the head. Ai is a more significant too, because it has the reach to influence and effect not just the individual but on a global level all of humanity. This means there is a much greater need to insure it’s applied responsbile, and our own governments are corrupt, ordering society to take kill shots. How are we going to work this out, except to educate more people of the need thereof.

  2. guest said on May 5, 2024 at 5:33 pm

    it is called lawsuit right now ai is stealing your info just like it stoled my info and microsoft know this and they fired all of 10.000 people that keep ai from doing just that stealing our info

  3. guest said on May 2, 2024 at 8:25 pm

    Windows 11 24H2 won’t boot if the PC does not support this CPU feature is stop pc’s from boot with POPCNT and it will boot at all and ai pc’s have become hacker heaven and they are useing ai to break in to microsoft and google and more

  4. Ted Baker said on May 1, 2024 at 5:25 pm

    I have yet to see anything in AI that is actually intelligent. It’s rapid data processing. Feed everything Shakespeare ever wrote into it and tell it “write like Shakespeare.”

    Put an AI computer out in the rain and see if it comes in.

  5. pHROZEN gHOST said on May 1, 2024 at 2:50 pm

    “THEY” want to know everything about you … maybe even your banking info :-)

  6. EFromme said on April 30, 2024 at 1:11 pm

    Big picture: MS colluding with pc manufacturers to force pc owners to buy new pc’s. AI is a fraud. Its all about creating a new corporate revenue stream. Look at what HP is doing with leasing printers to consumers, sw manufs. selling annual subscriptions, apple realiesing a new phone every 12 months, etc. They want your money and will lie to get it.

    AI is a fraud. And the media is perpetrating the lie.

  7. Mr Stank said on April 30, 2024 at 10:23 am

    Just a marketing trick. AI is the new “smart”…

  8. ilev said on April 30, 2024 at 8:04 am

    AI PC is a hoax to sell PCs.

    1. Anonymous said on May 29, 2024 at 9:35 pm

      AI is a hoax in general.

  9. Anonymous said on April 30, 2024 at 1:57 am

    Their prediction sounds more like sly advertising than a reality, at least to me.

  10. Anonymous said on April 29, 2024 at 10:18 pm

    I use the latest version of Windows now and have never been bothered by Copilot, because it is blocked. Telemetry is also blocked (as much as possible).

    Manufacturers may a chip for AI and a key on the keyboard, but that doesn’t force anybody to use it.

  11. Bob said on April 29, 2024 at 9:55 pm

    AI in a PC, WTF do we need that for? To join some mass botnet in the sky?

    A sky-net?

  12. boris said on April 29, 2024 at 4:12 pm

    If AI becomes mandatory, I will either install polished version Windows 10/11 with AI blocked on a new computer or just buy a Linux box. Unless by some miracle Copilot becomes user-friendly and private, it will never be on my PC.

    1. Lizard said on April 29, 2024 at 6:53 pm

      You won’t be able to block’s inside hardware. There will be no way to block it.

      1. boris said on April 30, 2024 at 1:17 pm

        While it is a real danger, there is a strong chance that my local computer shop will be able to disable IA hardware part and maybe replace the processor. It will cost an extra few hundred bucks, but it will be worth it.

        It is all theory right now, though. But what is not theory is that if all Windows PCs and Chrome PCs go AI, there will be a market for Linux boxes. You probably will not be able to get it from Amazon or big PC manufacturers, but there will be options for tech-savvy people.

  13. 11r20 said on April 29, 2024 at 3:46 pm

    I like my ol’ pooter just the way it is…nice + quiet.

    Don’t want ‘any’ intellectual-property-thieves in my machine.

  14. John G. said on April 29, 2024 at 3:23 pm

    It’s like a sort of terrible nightmare by MS. Really. Thanks @Martin for the article! :]

  15. SArmstrong said on April 29, 2024 at 3:18 pm

    So eveyone will need two PCs, one connected to the internet to download stuff and your personal one.

    1. Anonymous said on April 29, 2024 at 6:38 pm

      Been doing that for several years :)

  16. Anonymous said on April 29, 2024 at 3:01 pm

    Yeah sure an AI PC with a Microsoft account and an active Win13 sub.
    Maybe Win11 will be polished and acceptable by then?

    1. boris said on April 29, 2024 at 7:58 pm

      I also have a feeling that in a few years, new Windows computers will require subscription. I would say there is 80% of this happening.

  17. Herman Cost said on April 29, 2024 at 2:57 pm

    At present AI is without question over-hyped. In any case, I’m not an early adopter. I prefer to wait until something becomes truly useful, and then immerse myself in it to learn it quickly. So I’ll simply disable/block it whenever I can for now (as I did when Softonic annoying decided to use it on gHacks by creating a series of obviously fake authors to write awful articles/ads), keep an open mind, and wait and see what happens. 1930 is a fairly long time from now by tech standards, so at that point AI may well be hard to live without. I sort of hope it doesn’t, but maybe I lack imagination.

    1. Seeprime said on April 29, 2024 at 11:59 pm

      This is the way.

  18. 45 RPM said on April 29, 2024 at 2:52 pm

    To answer this “Are you looking forward to the integration of AI into your devices and systems?”

    About as much as having Orwell being proved right…or a zombie apocalypse…or the oceans boiling. Oh, wait, we already have at least one of these.

    1. Nonya said on April 29, 2024 at 4:29 pm

      Orwell had many uncanny predictions, especially when considering the current state of surveillence for “our protection and safety” however, I am really starting to pay closer attention to Huxley.

      Remember to pick a “team” and get your daily dose of Soma… er, Social Media.

      Personal Critical Thinking is completely optional, the oligarchs have determined AI bots will do of the hard thinking for us.

      1. 45 RPM said on April 30, 2024 at 8:54 am


        +10 for Huxley. Agree 100%

  19. Michael said on April 29, 2024 at 2:45 pm

    There are more people interested to sell that crap than people interested to buy it.

  20. TelV said on April 29, 2024 at 2:44 pm

    Briefly, am I correct in assuming that is the new “ghacks” domain so to speak Martin? That would be good news indeed!

    As regards the article, this whole AI thing is getting out of hand. It’s brand new technology I know, but to what degree has it been thoroughly assessed? As you wrote in your article on the site AI is perfectly capable of exploiting security vulnerabilities by writing the appropriate code for those exploits. So having a ready-made AI key available on the machine, the question is could that be activated to execute vulnerabilities without user intervention? It doesn’t bear thinking about.

    Although I live in a country (the Netherlands) which requires its citizens to interact with government sites using a proprietary OS, I think I would defintely switch to a Linux distro if it means relinquishing control over my privacy. I’d even be prepared to take the matter to the European Court of Justice if need be.

    1. VioletMoon said on April 29, 2024 at 4:59 pm

      Could be, probably is. Clean layout, interesting; however, no comments. I’ve found over the years, since 2005 is that possible?, that the comments most often made the story; the synergistic effect of everyone sharing his/her ideas and information made for the last, as far as I know, tech site online w/ a dedicated, interactive community. Several sites do have comment sections, but they aren’t nearly as “alive.”

  21. ECJ said on April 29, 2024 at 2:07 pm

    Canalys also said blockchain-based assets such as NFTs will play a key role in reshaping the future of consumer devices and that smart speakers were going to revolutionise smart assistant-compatible devices in the home.

  22. John said on April 29, 2024 at 1:51 pm

    Right now, I am not buying into AI as the next big thing. It may be the next big hyped thing but so far I think its a work in progress that may or may not be all that it claims to be. I certainly won’t buy a new AI enabled PC just for that.

  23. Richard Cranium said on April 29, 2024 at 1:24 pm

    I do not want or need AI in any way shap or form. AI on any computer is a bot net. If it is not able to be 100% disabled it will just be a big security issue, were all your personal information is harvested.

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